Regular season NFL team stats & winning the Super Bowl

Is there a relationship between having good regular season stats (points scored per game and points allowed per game) and winning a championship? Here is a look at the numbers since the NFL expansion/realignment in 2002.

A project for Hack the Pats Hack-a-thon on Saturday, January 19, 2013 at The Boston Globe lab by Daigo Fujiwara. Part of Hacks Hackers Boston. Data taken from and uploaded here in Google Doc. See it on GitHub. Lives on the web at

Does offense win championship?

Charting how many points a team averaged in their 16 game regular season. means the team won Super Bowl. Click on the team name below the chart (in the legend) to show/hide. Hover to show the average points scored.

What about defense?

Charting how many points the team allowed in each game. means won Super Bowl that year. Toggle on the team name below the chart to show/hide. Hover to reveal the stats.

List of Super Bowl winners and how they ranked

In the span:

SB Date Winner Score Offense Defense
XXXVII January 26, 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48–21 vs Oakland Raiders 18th 1st
XXXVIII February 1, 2004 New England Patriots 32–29 vs Carolina Panthers 12th 1st
XXXIX February 6, 2005 New England Patriots 24–21 vs Philadelphia Eagles 4th 2nd
XL February 5, 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers 21–10 vs Seattle Seahawks 9th 3rd
XLI February 4, 2007 Indianapolis Colts 29–17 vs Chicago Bears 2nd 23rd
XLII February 3, 2008 New York Giants 17–14 vs New England Patriots 14th 17th
XLIII February 1, 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers 27–23 vs Arizona Cardinals 20th 1st
XLIV February 7, 2010 New Orleans Saints 31–17 vs Indianapolis Colts 1st 20th
XLV February 6, 2011 Green Bay Packers 31–25 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10th 2nd
XLVI February 5, 2012 New York Giants 21–17 vs New England Patriots 9th 25th
XLVII February 3, 2013 ? at New Orleans, Louisiana